+ First proposition: we know a lot less about the world then we think.
+ Second proposition: people operating in this uncertain environment sometimes are very certain indeed.
+ Third proposition: the certainty of people (second proposition) can come from the Right -- where it overlaps with power -- or the Left. Neither seem comfortable with uncertainty, and instead prefer profitable consensus, unverifiable assertions or self-righteous accusations.
+ Fourth proposition: in this environment the media frequently does not help people understand the world around them.
+ Fifth propostion: we have to be careful of confirmation bias - only believing the things we want to believe. Most of the western Left has now fallen into this trap.
3 days ago